Rating
21.3
#39
Latest 21.3 (#39) from 1 model run. A point is added each time the pipeline runs.
Small numbers are national ranks in that role.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Tempo | 68.8#159 | — |
| eFG% | 54.3#57 | 48.3#45 |
| TOV% | 13.9#20 | 13.6#345 |
| ORB% | 31.2#158 | 27.8#63 |
| FT rate | 37.1#126 | 23.8#3 |
| Block% | 9.1#152 | 8.5#230 |
| Assist% | 57.2#69 | 47.8#62 |
| 2P% | 56.5#38 | 46.2#17 |
| 3P% | 34.2#164 | 34.7#230 |
| FT% | 68.2#320 | — |
| 3PA rate | 42.2#132 | 37.0#261 |
2025–26 season stats.
Finished games show the result and the WAB it earned. Upcoming games show the model line and the WAB at stake: gained with a win / lost with a loss.
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result / line | Win prob | WAB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 3 | Central Arkansas177 | H | −26.2 | >99% | +0.01 / −0.99 | Time TBA → |
| Fri, Nov 7 | Kansas8 | H | W 87–74 | — | +0.46 | Final |
| Tue, Nov 11 | Radford255 | H | W 89–74 | — | +0.00 | Final |
| Fri, Nov 14 | North Carolina Central357 | H | W 97–53 | — | +0.00 | Final |
| Tue, Nov 18 | Navy290 | H | W 73–61 | — | +0.00 | Final |
| Tue, Nov 25 | St. Bonaventure158 | N | W 85–70 | — | +0.08 | Final |
| Thu, Nov 27 | Michigan St.9 | N | L 58–74 | — | −0.24 | Final |
| Tue, Dec 2 | Kentucky20 | A | W 67–64 | — | +0.90 | Final |
| Sun, Dec 7 | Georgetown65 | H | W 81–61 | — | +0.18 | Final |
| Sat, Dec 13 | USC Upstate343 | H | W 80–62 | — | +0.00 | Final |
| Tue, Dec 16 | East Tennessee St.175 | H | W 77–58 | — | +0.01 | Final |
| Sat, Dec 20 | Ohio St.26 | N | W 71–70 | — | +0.69 | Final |
| Mon, Dec 22 | East Carolina185 | H | W 99–51 | — | +0.01 | Final |
| Tue, Dec 30 | Florida St.64 | H | W 79–66 | — | +0.20 | Final |
| Sat, Jan 3 | SMU59 | A | L 83–97 | — | −0.25 | Final |
| Sat, Jan 10 | Wake Forest82 | H | W 87–84 | — | +0.15 | Final |
| Wed, Jan 14 | Stanford81 | A | L 90–95 | — | −0.28 | Final |
| Sat, Jan 17 | California94 | A | L 78–84 | — | −0.35 | Final |
| Wed, Jan 21 | Notre Dame72 | H | W 91–69 | — | +0.21 | Final |
| Sat, Jan 24 | Virginia14 | A | W 85–80 | — | +0.91 | Final |
| Sat, Jan 31 | Georgia Tech110 | A | W 91–75 | — | +0.57 | Final |
| Mon, Feb 2 | Syracuse76 | H | W 87–77 | — | +0.17 | Final |
| Sat, Feb 7 | Duke1 | H | W 71–68 | — | +0.63 | Final |
| Tue, Feb 10 | Miami FL13 | A | L 66–75 | — | −0.09 | Final |
| Sat, Feb 14 | Pittsburgh79 | H | W 79–65 | — | +0.17 | Final |
| Tue, Feb 17 | NC State54 | A | L 58–82 | — | −0.20 | Final |
| Sat, Feb 21 | Syracuse76 | A | W 77–64 | — | +0.70 | Final |
| Mon, Feb 23 | Louisville15 | H | W 77–74 | — | +0.42 | Final |
| Sat, Feb 28 | Virginia Tech48 | H | W 89–82 | — | +0.26 | Final |
| Tue, Mar 3 | Clemson44 | H | W 67–63 | — | +0.27 | Final |
| Sat, Mar 7 | Duke1 | A | L 61–76 | — | −0.02 | Final |
| Thu, Mar 12 | Clemson44 | N | L 79–80 | — | −0.45 | Final |
| Thu, Mar 19 | VCU53 | N | L 78–82 | — | −0.48 | Final |
| Projected total finals as played, the rest by the model | 24.0–9.0 | +4.63 | ||||
Projected wins add up each game's win probability. WAB uses the current model ratings. Non-Division I games do not count toward WAB.