Model line
Samford −1.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Samford 54%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
USC Upstate home
54%Win probability46%
The model makes Samford a 1.0-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Samford offense vs USC Upstate defense
| Samford O | Stat | USC Upstate D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#179 | Tempo | #13769.2 |
| 53.1#101 | eFG% | #16351.0 |
| 13.4#13 | TOV% | #19916.4 |
| 25.3#333 | ORB% | #22431.4 |
| 41.9#32 | FT rate | #21136.0 |
| 10.2#254 | Block% | #4312.4 |
| 55.2#110 | Assist% | #2144.7 |
| 52.8#138 | 2P% | #8349.5 |
| 35.6#84 | 3P% | #29035.6 |
| 69.2#294 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#53 | 3PA rate | #28436.1 |
USC Upstate offense vs Samford defense
| USC Upstate O | Stat | Samford D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#137 | Tempo | #17968.4 |
| 48.3#308 | eFG% | #20651.9 |
| 18.2#285 | TOV% | #35613.0 |
| 29.2#231 | ORB% | #1725.7 |
| 32.8#242 | FT rate | #13032.9 |
| 11.0#304 | Block% | #3127.0 |
| 46.0#317 | Assist% | #2945.8 |
| 48.9#286 | 2P% | #11450.3 |
| 31.4#312 | 3P% | #32836.5 |
| 68.1#325 | FT% | — |
| 35.6#258 | 3PA rate | #28835.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Samford
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Furman147 | L 81–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | W 87–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | VMI344 | W 80–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Mercer227 | L 86–89 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | The Citadel325 | W 78–75 |
USC Upstate
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Gardner Webb352 | L 64–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gardner Webb352 | W 71–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Radford255 | L 59–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Presbyterian224 | W 76–74 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Winthrop239 | L 64–68 |
