Model line
Georgia St. −8.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Georgia St. 82%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Georgia St. home
18%Win probability82%
The model makes Georgia St. a 8.6-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercer offense vs Georgia St. defense
| Mercer O | Stat | Georgia St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#114 | Tempo | #15868.8 |
| 53.1#99 | eFG% | #13350.6 |
| 15.0#63 | TOV% | #19416.4 |
| 32.6#100 | ORB% | #30833.6 |
| 39.2#76 | FT rate | #17634.9 |
| 8.1#66 | Block% | #2438.3 |
| 46.2#314 | Assist% | #15551.4 |
| 53.0#128 | 2P% | #15351.2 |
| 35.6#81 | 3P% | #12333.1 |
| 73.0#169 | FT% | — |
| 39.2#186 | 3PA rate | #19939.0 |
Georgia St. offense vs Mercer defense
| Georgia St. O | Stat | Mercer D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#158 | Tempo | #11469.5 |
| 44.2#362 | eFG% | #24152.5 |
| 15.9#131 | TOV% | #15317.0 |
| 27.7#278 | ORB% | #30333.2 |
| 37.2#123 | FT rate | #5429.7 |
| 8.7#121 | Block% | #1799.2 |
| 50.6#228 | Assist% | #4446.8 |
| 42.9#365 | 2P% | #15651.3 |
| 30.6#331 | 3P% | #31336.2 |
| 78.6#11 | FT% | — |
| 42.4#129 | 3PA rate | #9442.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercer
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Reinhardt | W 90–53 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Western Carolina184 | L 73–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | East Tennessee St.175 | W 82–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Western Carolina184 | L 74–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Samford206 | W 89–86 |
Georgia St.
| Tue, Mar 3 | N | Louisiana215 | L 75–84 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Old Dominion218 | L 73–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Coastal Carolina240 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | James Madison143 | L 65–80 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Georgia Southern307 | W 66–64 |
