Model line
UTSA −12.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UTSA 90%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
UTSA home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes UTSA a 12.0-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
VMI offense vs UTSA defense
| VMI O | Stat | UTSA D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#220 | Tempo | #11269.6 |
| 47.6#324 | eFG% | #27853.3 |
| 15.3#93 | TOV% | #31214.7 |
| 25.6#330 | ORB% | #36338.7 |
| 30.6#294 | FT rate | #13633.3 |
| 10.5#276 | Block% | #5411.9 |
| 50.7#227 | Assist% | #28156.0 |
| 47.9#313 | 2P% | #27153.8 |
| 31.5#306 | 3P% | #25335.1 |
| 72.2#201 | FT% | — |
| 53.6#2 | 3PA rate | #5943.3 |
UTSA offense vs VMI defense
| UTSA O | Stat | VMI D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#112 | Tempo | #22067.6 |
| 44.8#360 | eFG% | #35757.0 |
| 17.5#238 | TOV% | #24315.7 |
| 30.2#193 | ORB% | #36037.2 |
| 29.5#321 | FT rate | #16934.6 |
| 13.1#358 | Block% | #3356.4 |
| 42.8#351 | Assist% | #35662.3 |
| 45.5#353 | 2P% | #35958.9 |
| 29.2#351 | 3P% | #32936.5 |
| 69.8#276 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#144 | 3PA rate | #1746.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
VMI
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | UNC Greensboro289 | L 70–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Chattanooga274 | L 79–86 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Samford206 | L 61–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Western Carolina184 | L 62–81 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Wofford276 | L 76–82 |
UTSA
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rice235 | L 71–80 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 67–84 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | East Carolina185 | L 81–82 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 74–100 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Florida Atlantic118 | L 52–60 |
