Model line
Troy −6.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Troy 76%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Troy home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes Troy a 6.8-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Furman offense vs Troy defense
| Furman O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#267 | Tempo | #25366.8 |
| 54.8#46 | eFG% | #11350.2 |
| 17.8#258 | TOV% | #17516.7 |
| 30.5#179 | ORB% | #24331.7 |
| 32.7#244 | FT rate | #9531.4 |
| 10.6#278 | Block% | #2039.0 |
| 56.1#86 | Assist% | #11450.0 |
| 58.8#15 | 2P% | #19652.0 |
| 33.4#200 | 3P% | #5231.6 |
| 70.1#270 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#38 | 3PA rate | #19439.1 |
Troy offense vs Furman defense
| Troy O | Stat | Furman D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#253 | Tempo | #26766.5 |
| 51.5#173 | eFG% | #10950.2 |
| 17.3#224 | TOV% | #34213.7 |
| 34.6#58 | ORB% | #7228.2 |
| 36.2#145 | FT rate | #4328.9 |
| 10.9#296 | Block% | #1759.3 |
| 57.5#64 | Assist% | #5947.7 |
| 53.2#125 | 2P% | #16351.5 |
| 33.0#232 | 3P% | #7432.3 |
| 74.2#122 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#49 | 3PA rate | #9841.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Furman
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Connecticut3 | L 71–82 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | W 76–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | UNC Greensboro289 | W 81–75 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Samford206 | W 86–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Western Carolina184 | L 67–86 |
Troy
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska19 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern307 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss236 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Louisiana215 | W 78–59 |
