Model line
Davidson −13.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Davidson 92%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Davidson home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Davidson a 13.3-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercer offense vs Davidson defense
| Mercer O | Stat | Davidson D |
|---|---|---|
| — | Tempo | #20566.5 |
| — | eFG% | #2539.0 |
| — | TOV% | #20213.5 |
| — | ORB% | #14432.6 |
| — | FT rate | #1716.2 |
| — | Block% | #1656.8 |
| — | Assist% | #6345.8 |
| — | 2P% | #5343.2 |
| — | 3P% | #2920.8 |
| — | FT% | — |
| — | 3PA rate | #18435.3 |
Davidson offense vs Mercer defense
| Davidson O | Stat | Mercer D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#205 | Tempo | — |
| 66.0#16 | eFG% | — |
| 21.1#170 | TOV% | — |
| 25.0#179 | ORB% | — |
| 22.6#197 | FT rate | — |
| 3.3#39 | Block% | — |
| 62.1#66 | Assist% | — |
| 56.7#87 | 2P% | — |
| 52.2#7 | 3P% | — |
| 50.0#226 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#98 | 3PA rate | — |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercer
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Reinhardt | W 90–53 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Western Carolina172 | L 73–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | East Tennessee St.186 | W 82–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Western Carolina172 | L 74–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Samford191 | W 89–86 |
Davidson
| Mon, Nov 2 | A | Washington St.164 | W 76–61 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Oklahoma St.49 | L 80–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Saint Joseph's124 | L 58–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Loyola Chicago125 | W 64–59 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | St. Bonaventure193 | W 68–63 |
