Model line
Lafayette −7.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Lafayette 79%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Lafayette home
21%Win probability79%
The model makes Lafayette a 7.6-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Army offense vs Lafayette defense
| Army O | Stat | Lafayette D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#230 | Tempo | #25066.9 |
| 49.3#275 | eFG% | #28853.6 |
| 17.2#213 | TOV% | #27915.1 |
| 29.6#218 | ORB% | #9028.6 |
| 26.8#353 | FT rate | #7530.6 |
| 11.2#312 | Block% | #3326.4 |
| 59.0#41 | Assist% | #33259.0 |
| 50.7#223 | 2P% | #25053.4 |
| 32.0#278 | 3P% | #30236.0 |
| 71.7#214 | FT% | — |
| 53.3#3 | 3PA rate | #23238.0 |
Lafayette offense vs Army defense
| Lafayette O | Stat | Army D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#250 | Tempo | #23067.3 |
| 49.3#277 | eFG% | #33255.1 |
| 15.3#87 | TOV% | #25715.4 |
| 25.8#326 | ORB% | #5327.7 |
| 32.4#251 | FT rate | #29739.6 |
| 10.5#273 | Block% | #3604.8 |
| 55.4#104 | Assist% | #21553.5 |
| 50.0#252 | 2P% | #33756.4 |
| 32.2#269 | 3P% | #28735.6 |
| 68.9#300 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#175 | 3PA rate | #10241.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Army
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Bucknell335 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Lafayette332 | L 77–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Bucknell335 | L 73–75 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Navy290 | L 63–81 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Loyola MD348 | W 87–77 |
Lafayette
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Holy Cross353 | L 77–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Army346 | W 83–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colgate207 | W 70–69 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | American198 | L 61–75 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Holy Cross353 | W 86–83 |
