Model line
American −2.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
American 62%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Army home
62%Win probability38%
The model makes American a 2.9-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
American offense vs Army defense
| American O | Stat | Army D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#254 | Tempo | #23067.3 |
| 51.5#170 | eFG% | #33255.1 |
| 15.6#109 | TOV% | #25715.4 |
| 26.9#299 | ORB% | #5327.7 |
| 28.7#334 | FT rate | #29739.6 |
| 10.0#234 | Block% | #3604.8 |
| 49.5#254 | Assist% | #21553.5 |
| 53.3#113 | 2P% | #33756.4 |
| 33.0#226 | 3P% | #28735.6 |
| 75.8#54 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#37 | 3PA rate | #10241.7 |
Army offense vs American defense
| Army O | Stat | American D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#230 | Tempo | #25466.7 |
| 49.3#275 | eFG% | #31054.4 |
| 17.2#213 | TOV% | #4019.2 |
| 29.6#218 | ORB% | #12629.4 |
| 26.8#353 | FT rate | #32342.1 |
| 11.2#312 | Block% | #3624.4 |
| 59.0#41 | Assist% | #21653.7 |
| 50.7#223 | 2P% | #31155.1 |
| 32.0#278 | 3P% | #27735.5 |
| 71.7#214 | FT% | — |
| 53.3#3 | 3PA rate | #25837.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
American
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Boston University309 | L 73–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boston University309 | L 65–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Lehigh265 | L 73–78 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Lafayette332 | W 75–61 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Bucknell335 | W 75–57 |
Army
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Bucknell335 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Lafayette332 | L 77–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Bucknell335 | L 73–75 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Navy290 | L 63–81 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Loyola MD348 | W 87–77 |
