Model line
UNLV −16.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNLV 96%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
UNLV home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes UNLV a 16.8-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Samford offense vs UNLV defense
| Samford O | Stat | UNLV D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#179 | Tempo | #6870.7 |
| 53.1#101 | eFG% | #23252.3 |
| 13.4#13 | TOV% | #13217.3 |
| 25.3#333 | ORB% | #22331.4 |
| 41.9#32 | FT rate | #35045.1 |
| 10.2#254 | Block% | #3312.7 |
| 55.2#110 | Assist% | #28756.1 |
| 52.8#138 | 2P% | #19752.0 |
| 35.6#84 | 3P% | #26135.2 |
| 69.2#294 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#53 | 3PA rate | #28036.3 |
UNLV offense vs Samford defense
| UNLV O | Stat | Samford D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#68 | Tempo | #17968.4 |
| 53.6#83 | eFG% | #20651.9 |
| 17.3#225 | TOV% | #35613.0 |
| 30.7#175 | ORB% | #1725.7 |
| 41.2#44 | FT rate | #13032.9 |
| 8.0#61 | Block% | #3127.0 |
| 51.6#203 | Assist% | #2945.8 |
| 53.7#96 | 2P% | #11450.3 |
| 35.6#87 | 3P% | #32836.5 |
| 68.0#327 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#246 | 3PA rate | #28835.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Samford
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Furman147 | L 81–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | W 87–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | VMI344 | W 80–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Mercer227 | L 86–89 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | The Citadel325 | W 78–75 |
UNLV
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | UC Irvine109 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Utah St.56 | L 60–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Wyoming117 | W 73–70 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | San Diego St.73 | L 86–89 |
