Model line
New Mexico −23.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Mexico 99%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
New Mexico home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes New Mexico a 23.6-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercer offense vs New Mexico defense
| Mercer O | Stat | New Mexico D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#114 | Tempo | #7070.6 |
| 53.1#99 | eFG% | #9049.8 |
| 15.0#63 | TOV% | #4419.1 |
| 32.6#100 | ORB% | #6227.8 |
| 39.2#76 | FT rate | #16834.6 |
| 8.1#66 | Block% | #1929.1 |
| 46.2#314 | Assist% | #24854.8 |
| 53.0#128 | 2P% | #26353.7 |
| 35.6#81 | 3P% | #1430.3 |
| 73.0#169 | FT% | — |
| 39.2#186 | 3PA rate | #1047.6 |
New Mexico offense vs Mercer defense
| New Mexico O | Stat | Mercer D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#70 | Tempo | #11469.5 |
| 53.9#70 | eFG% | #24152.5 |
| 15.0#64 | TOV% | #15317.0 |
| 30.5#181 | ORB% | #30333.2 |
| 35.9#156 | FT rate | #5429.7 |
| 8.6#114 | Block% | #1799.2 |
| 52.7#171 | Assist% | #4446.8 |
| 53.7#94 | 2P% | #15651.3 |
| 36.2#49 | 3P% | #31336.2 |
| 72.7#179 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#137 | 3PA rate | #9442.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercer
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Reinhardt | W 90–53 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Western Carolina184 | L 73–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | East Tennessee St.175 | W 82–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Western Carolina184 | L 74–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Samford206 | W 89–86 |
New Mexico
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Tulsa104 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | W 84–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | George Washington103 | W 86–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 107–83 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–64 |
