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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

USC Upstate · #343 · BSth · 0–0UNC Asheville · #291 · BSth · 0–0Sat, Feb 20 · 4:30 PM ETKimmel Arena · Asheville, NC
Model line
UNC Asheville −9.9
Win probability
UNC Asheville 85%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
UNC Asheville home
15%Win probability85%

The model makes UNC Asheville a 9.9-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

USC Upstate offense vs UNC Asheville defense

USC Upstate OStatUNC Asheville D
69.2#137Tempo#24267.1
48.3#308eFG%#17651.3
18.2#285TOV%#25415.5
29.2#231ORB%#21831.3
32.8#242FT rate#28038.7
11.0#304Block%#14210.0
46.0#317Assist%#8148.7
48.9#2862P%#23152.8
31.4#3123P%#9532.6
68.1#325FT%—
35.6#2583PA rate#22038.4

UNC Asheville offense vs USC Upstate defense

UNC Asheville OStatUSC Upstate D
67.1#242Tempo#13769.2
51.0#196eFG%#16351.0
17.4#231TOV%#19916.4
29.8#213ORB%#22431.4
40.0#60FT rate#21136.0
7.7#45Block%#4312.4
40.4#360Assist%#2144.7
50.1#2502P%#8349.5
35.1#1103P%#29035.6
68.4#317FT%—
33.6#3083PA rate#28436.1

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

USC Upstate

Wed, Mar 4NGardner Webb352L 64–65
Sat, Feb 28HGardner Webb352W 71–61
Thu, Feb 26ARadford255L 59–71
Sat, Feb 21HPresbyterian224W 76–74
Thu, Feb 19AWinthrop239L 64–68

UNC Asheville

Sat, Mar 7NHigh Point61L 71–75
Fri, Mar 6NLongwood214W 85–82
Sat, Feb 28HCharleston Southern316L 75–92
Thu, Feb 26AGardner Webb352W 77–71
Sat, Feb 21HRadford255W 74–73