Model line
UNC Asheville −3.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Asheville 64%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
UNC Asheville home
36%Win probability64%
The model makes UNC Asheville a 3.5-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Winthrop offense vs UNC Asheville defense
| Winthrop O | Stat | UNC Asheville D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.7#29 | Tempo | #24267.1 |
| 49.7#255 | eFG% | #17651.3 |
| 14.7#54 | TOV% | #25415.5 |
| 34.1#65 | ORB% | #21831.3 |
| 44.0#11 | FT rate | #28038.7 |
| 11.2#320 | Block% | #14210.0 |
| 51.6#205 | Assist% | #8148.7 |
| 49.7#268 | 2P% | #23152.8 |
| 33.2#220 | 3P% | #9532.6 |
| 72.9#175 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#90 | 3PA rate | #22038.4 |
UNC Asheville offense vs Winthrop defense
| UNC Asheville O | Stat | Winthrop D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#242 | Tempo | #2971.7 |
| 51.0#196 | eFG% | #18251.4 |
| 17.4#231 | TOV% | #17616.7 |
| 29.8#213 | ORB% | #5927.7 |
| 40.0#60 | FT rate | #28639.0 |
| 7.7#45 | Block% | #2657.9 |
| 40.4#360 | Assist% | #2245.0 |
| 50.1#250 | 2P% | #24153.0 |
| 35.1#110 | 3P% | #11632.9 |
| 68.4#317 | FT% | — |
| 33.6#308 | 3PA rate | #7742.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Winthrop
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Queens182 | L 98–103 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | High Point61 | L 76–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Presbyterian224 | W 73–71 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Charleston Southern316 | W 86–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Presbyterian224 | W 74–70 |
UNC Asheville
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | High Point61 | L 71–75 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Longwood214 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Charleston Southern316 | L 75–92 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Gardner Webb352 | W 77–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Radford255 | W 74–73 |
