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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

USC Upstate · #343 · BSth · 0–0North Carolina Central · #357 · MEAC · 0–0Sat, Dec 5 · 2:00 PM ETMcDougald-McLendon Arena · Durham, NC
Model line
North Carolina Central −3.2
Win probability
North Carolina Central 63%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
North Carolina Central home
37%Win probability63%

The model makes North Carolina Central a 3.2-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

USC Upstate offense vs North Carolina Central defense

USC Upstate OStatNorth Carolina Central D
69.2#137Tempo#25766.7
48.3#308eFG%#31654.5
18.2#285TOV%#2619.9
29.2#231ORB%#36439.4
32.8#242FT rate#23336.9
11.0#304Block%#13710.0
46.0#317Assist%#32258.2
48.9#2862P%#29654.5
31.4#3123P%#32136.4
68.1#325FT%—
35.6#2583PA rate#14240.6

North Carolina Central offense vs USC Upstate defense

North Carolina Central OStatUSC Upstate D
66.7#257Tempo#13769.2
47.5#327eFG%#16351.0
18.1#280TOV%#19916.4
30.0#200ORB%#22431.4
39.3#72FT rate#21136.0
12.4#346Block%#4312.4
52.7#172Assist%#2144.7
46.7#3342P%#8349.5
32.6#2513P%#29035.6
73.8#141FT%—
33.9#2983PA rate#28436.1

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

USC Upstate

Wed, Mar 4NGardner Webb352L 64–65
Sat, Feb 28HGardner Webb352W 71–61
Thu, Feb 26ARadford255L 59–71
Sat, Feb 21HPresbyterian224W 76–74
Thu, Feb 19AWinthrop239L 64–68

North Carolina Central

Sat, Mar 14NHoward164L 63–70
Fri, Mar 13NDelaware St.361W 59–53
Thu, Mar 12NMaryland Eastern Shore364W 83–76
Thu, Mar 5HSouth Carolina St.356L 64–80
Mon, Mar 2AMaryland Eastern Shore364W 77–73