Model line
The Citadel −7.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
The Citadel 79%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
The Citadel home
21%Win probability79%
The model makes The Citadel a 7.5-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
USC Upstate offense vs The Citadel defense
| USC Upstate O | Stat | The Citadel D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#137 | Tempo | #33464.8 |
| 48.3#308 | eFG% | #36157.5 |
| 18.2#285 | TOV% | #31114.7 |
| 29.2#231 | ORB% | #22831.5 |
| 32.8#242 | FT rate | #13533.3 |
| 11.0#304 | Block% | #2737.8 |
| 46.0#317 | Assist% | #17552.2 |
| 48.9#286 | 2P% | #36359.6 |
| 31.4#312 | 3P% | #33536.6 |
| 68.1#325 | FT% | — |
| 35.6#258 | 3PA rate | #4444.1 |
The Citadel offense vs USC Upstate defense
| The Citadel O | Stat | USC Upstate D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8#334 | Tempo | #13769.2 |
| 49.5#269 | eFG% | #16351.0 |
| 16.3#157 | TOV% | #19916.4 |
| 27.9#272 | ORB% | #22431.4 |
| 30.0#312 | FT rate | #21136.0 |
| 10.7#288 | Block% | #4312.4 |
| 50.6#231 | Assist% | #2144.7 |
| 51.0#214 | 2P% | #8349.5 |
| 32.0#282 | 3P% | #29035.6 |
| 66.5#349 | FT% | — |
| 47.8#27 | 3PA rate | #28436.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
USC Upstate
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Gardner Webb352 | L 64–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gardner Webb352 | W 71–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Radford255 | L 59–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Presbyterian224 | W 76–74 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Winthrop239 | L 64–68 |
The Citadel
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | L 76–83 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Chattanooga274 | W 88–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wofford276 | W 93–90 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Furman147 | L 51–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Chattanooga274 | L 72–93 |
