Model line
Longwood −16.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Longwood 96%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Longwood home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Longwood a 16.4-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Carolina Central offense vs Longwood defense
| North Carolina Central O | Stat | Longwood D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#257 | Tempo | #12169.4 |
| 47.5#327 | eFG% | #29353.8 |
| 18.1#280 | TOV% | #2819.8 |
| 30.0#200 | ORB% | #5427.7 |
| 39.3#72 | FT rate | #32442.1 |
| 12.4#346 | Block% | #3406.1 |
| 52.7#172 | Assist% | #11049.9 |
| 46.7#334 | 2P% | #32956.1 |
| 32.6#251 | 3P% | #17033.8 |
| 73.8#141 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#298 | 3PA rate | #8042.6 |
Longwood offense vs North Carolina Central defense
| Longwood O | Stat | North Carolina Central D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#121 | Tempo | #25766.7 |
| 49.7#251 | eFG% | #31654.5 |
| 19.1#325 | TOV% | #2619.9 |
| 34.6#57 | ORB% | #36439.4 |
| 41.3#41 | FT rate | #23336.9 |
| 9.4#176 | Block% | #13710.0 |
| 47.1#300 | Assist% | #32258.2 |
| 51.1#209 | 2P% | #29654.5 |
| 31.4#310 | 3P% | #32136.4 |
| 74.0#134 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#279 | 3PA rate | #14240.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Carolina Central
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Howard164 | L 63–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Delaware St.361 | W 59–53 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Maryland Eastern Shore364 | W 83–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Carolina St.356 | L 64–80 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Maryland Eastern Shore364 | W 77–73 |
Longwood
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | UNC Asheville291 | L 82–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Radford255 | W 90–74 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Charleston Southern316 | W 107–96 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Presbyterian224 | L 65–72 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | USC Upstate343 | W 82–75 |
