Model line
West Virginia −26.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
West Virginia >99%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
West Virginia home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes West Virginia a 26.1-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercer offense vs West Virginia defense
| Mercer O | Stat | West Virginia D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#114 | Tempo | #35664.0 |
| 53.1#99 | eFG% | #4648.3 |
| 15.0#63 | TOV% | #9518.1 |
| 32.6#100 | ORB% | #10529.0 |
| 39.2#76 | FT rate | #4829.2 |
| 8.1#66 | Block% | #2218.6 |
| 46.2#314 | Assist% | #25655.1 |
| 53.0#128 | 2P% | #1145.7 |
| 35.6#81 | 3P% | #24735.0 |
| 73.0#169 | FT% | — |
| 39.2#186 | 3PA rate | #23138.1 |
West Virginia offense vs Mercer defense
| West Virginia O | Stat | Mercer D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.0#356 | Tempo | #11469.5 |
| 51.1#192 | eFG% | #24152.5 |
| 17.5#239 | TOV% | #15317.0 |
| 31.0#168 | ORB% | #30333.2 |
| 35.5#167 | FT rate | #5429.7 |
| 11.2#319 | Block% | #1799.2 |
| 53.2#162 | Assist% | #4446.8 |
| 52.5#149 | 2P% | #15651.3 |
| 32.8#242 | 3P% | #31336.2 |
| 67.7#331 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#117 | 3PA rate | #9442.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercer
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Reinhardt | W 90–53 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Western Carolina184 | L 73–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | East Tennessee St.175 | W 82–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Western Carolina184 | L 74–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Samford206 | W 89–86 |
West Virginia
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Oklahoma22 | W 89–82 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Creighton36 | W 87–70 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Stanford81 | W 82–77 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | BYU28 | L 48–68 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | UCF58 | W 77–62 |
