Model line
Arizona St. −22.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona St. 99%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Arizona St. home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Arizona St. a 22.2-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercer offense vs Arizona St. defense
| Mercer O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#114 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 53.1#99 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 15.0#63 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 32.6#100 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 39.2#76 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 8.1#66 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 46.2#314 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 53.0#128 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 35.6#81 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 73.0#169 | FT% | — |
| 39.2#186 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Arizona St. offense vs Mercer defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | Mercer D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #11469.5 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #24152.5 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #15317.0 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #30333.2 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #5429.7 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #1799.2 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #4446.8 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #15651.3 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #31336.2 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #9442.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercer
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Reinhardt | W 90–53 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Western Carolina184 | L 73–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | East Tennessee St.175 | W 82–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Western Carolina184 | L 74–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Samford206 | W 89–86 |
