Model line
American −4.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
American 67%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Holy Cross home
67%Win probability33%
The model makes American a 4.1-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
American offense vs Holy Cross defense
| American O | Stat | Holy Cross D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#254 | Tempo | #30365.8 |
| 51.5#170 | eFG% | #32454.8 |
| 15.6#109 | TOV% | #33014.1 |
| 26.9#299 | ORB% | #3827.0 |
| 28.7#334 | FT rate | #2927.6 |
| 10.0#234 | Block% | #3584.9 |
| 49.5#254 | Assist% | #12050.3 |
| 53.3#113 | 2P% | #34557.2 |
| 33.0#226 | 3P% | #18134.0 |
| 75.8#54 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#37 | 3PA rate | #20039.0 |
Holy Cross offense vs American defense
| Holy Cross O | Stat | American D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#303 | Tempo | #25466.7 |
| 49.8#244 | eFG% | #31054.4 |
| 15.3#86 | TOV% | #4019.2 |
| 21.9#356 | ORB% | #12629.4 |
| 31.5#267 | FT rate | #32342.1 |
| 8.3#72 | Block% | #3624.4 |
| 44.7#337 | Assist% | #21653.7 |
| 50.4#244 | 2P% | #31155.1 |
| 32.5#255 | 3P% | #27735.5 |
| 77.2#28 | FT% | — |
| 37.3#225 | 3PA rate | #25837.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
American
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Boston University309 | L 73–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boston University309 | L 65–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Lehigh265 | L 73–78 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Lafayette332 | W 75–61 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Bucknell335 | W 75–57 |
Holy Cross
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Lehigh265 | L 66–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Lafayette332 | W 82–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Loyola MD348 | L 62–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Boston University309 | L 63–78 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Bucknell335 | W 72–63 |
