Model line
Villanova −35.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Villanova >99%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Villanova home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Villanova a 35.2-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Holy Cross offense vs Villanova defense
| Holy Cross O | Stat | Villanova D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#303 | Tempo | #27666.5 |
| 49.8#244 | eFG% | #18151.4 |
| 15.3#86 | TOV% | #6918.6 |
| 21.9#356 | ORB% | #25031.8 |
| 31.5#267 | FT rate | #5930.0 |
| 8.3#72 | Block% | #3475.9 |
| 44.7#337 | Assist% | #23354.2 |
| 50.4#244 | 2P% | #21152.2 |
| 32.5#255 | 3P% | #14933.4 |
| 77.2#28 | FT% | — |
| 37.3#225 | 3PA rate | #27036.8 |
Villanova offense vs Holy Cross defense
| Villanova O | Stat | Holy Cross D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#276 | Tempo | #30365.8 |
| 53.8#76 | eFG% | #32454.8 |
| 15.0#67 | TOV% | #33014.1 |
| 32.2#119 | ORB% | #3827.0 |
| 30.9#284 | FT rate | #2927.6 |
| 7.3#23 | Block% | #3584.9 |
| 56.8#73 | Assist% | #12050.3 |
| 54.0#87 | 2P% | #34557.2 |
| 35.7#78 | 3P% | #18134.0 |
| 68.9#303 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#54 | 3PA rate | #20039.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Holy Cross
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Lehigh265 | L 66–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Lafayette332 | W 82–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Loyola MD348 | L 62–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Boston University309 | L 63–78 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Bucknell335 | W 72–63 |
Villanova
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Notre Dame72 | L 72–74 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Utah St.56 | L 76–86 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgetown65 | L 64–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Xavier45 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | DePaul62 | W 76–57 |
