Model line
Dayton −31.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Dayton >99%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Dayton home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Dayton a 31.4-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Loyola MD offense vs Dayton defense
| Loyola MD O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.1#194 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 50.4#218 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 15.5#105 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 27.6#279 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 29.9#314 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 8.3#76 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 48.8#270 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 51.9#173 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 32.6#250 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 71.5#221 | FT% | — |
| 47.2#30 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Dayton offense vs Loyola MD defense
| Dayton O | Stat | Loyola MD D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #19468.1 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #32154.7 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #26415.3 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #10029.0 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #12532.7 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #1619.6 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #26855.5 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #35358.3 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #10632.8 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #17639.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Loyola MD
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Colgate207 | L 77–90 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Holy Cross353 | W 76–62 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Navy290 | L 51–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Colgate207 | L 98–101 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Army346 | L 77–87 |
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
