Model line
Lafayette −4.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Lafayette 67%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Lafayette home
33%Win probability67%
The model makes Lafayette a 4.1-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Navy offense vs Lafayette defense
| Navy O | Stat | Lafayette D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#328 | Tempo | #25066.9 |
| 53.1#100 | eFG% | #28853.6 |
| 16.8#184 | TOV% | #27915.1 |
| 31.9#129 | ORB% | #9028.6 |
| 38.8#83 | FT rate | #7530.6 |
| 7.8#47 | Block% | #3326.4 |
| 61.2#22 | Assist% | #33259.0 |
| 52.7#142 | 2P% | #25053.4 |
| 35.8#68 | 3P% | #30236.0 |
| 73.6#148 | FT% | — |
| 33.1#314 | 3PA rate | #23238.0 |
Lafayette offense vs Navy defense
| Lafayette O | Stat | Navy D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#250 | Tempo | #32865.2 |
| 49.3#277 | eFG% | #4448.3 |
| 15.3#87 | TOV% | #8518.3 |
| 25.8#326 | ORB% | #4927.4 |
| 32.4#251 | FT rate | #1326.0 |
| 10.5#273 | Block% | #10310.7 |
| 55.4#104 | Assist% | #19052.7 |
| 50.0#252 | 2P% | #14151.0 |
| 32.2#269 | 3P% | #730.0 |
| 68.9#300 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#175 | 3PA rate | #2346.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Navy
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 72–82 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Boston University309 | L 72–73 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Bucknell335 | W 74–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Colgate207 | W 85–69 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Loyola MD348 | W 78–51 |
Lafayette
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Holy Cross353 | L 77–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Army346 | W 83–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colgate207 | W 70–69 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | American198 | L 61–75 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Holy Cross353 | W 86–83 |
