Model line
Navy −4.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Navy 66%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Neutral
34%Win probability66%
The model makes Navy a 4.0-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Connecticut offense vs Navy defense
| Central Connecticut O | Stat | Navy D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#325 | Tempo | #32865.2 |
| 51.6#168 | eFG% | #4448.3 |
| 16.2#153 | TOV% | #8518.3 |
| 27.5#281 | ORB% | #4927.4 |
| 31.2#277 | FT rate | #1326.0 |
| 6.5#12 | Block% | #10310.7 |
| 50.9#218 | Assist% | #19052.7 |
| 50.5#233 | 2P% | #14151.0 |
| 35.8#65 | 3P% | #730.0 |
| 76.7#38 | FT% | — |
| 34.9#276 | 3PA rate | #2346.0 |
Navy offense vs Central Connecticut defense
| Navy O | Stat | Central Connecticut D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#328 | Tempo | #32565.2 |
| 53.1#100 | eFG% | #10850.2 |
| 16.8#184 | TOV% | #33514.0 |
| 31.9#129 | ORB% | #18130.4 |
| 38.8#83 | FT rate | #2126.9 |
| 7.8#47 | Block% | #9210.9 |
| 61.2#22 | Assist% | #22554.0 |
| 52.7#142 | 2P% | #10950.3 |
| 35.8#68 | 3P% | #14133.4 |
| 73.6#148 | FT% | — |
| 33.1#314 | 3PA rate | #18939.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Connecticut
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Wagner338 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | St. Francis PA | W 69–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Mercyhurst294 | W 80–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Chicago St.347 | L 51–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Le Moyne319 | W 78–77 |
Navy
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 72–82 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Boston University309 | L 72–73 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Bucknell335 | W 74–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Colgate207 | W 85–69 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Loyola MD348 | W 78–51 |
