Model line
Fairfield −10.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fairfield 86%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Fairfield home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Fairfield a 10.1-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Navy offense vs Fairfield defense
| Navy O | Stat | Fairfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#328 | Tempo | #23867.1 |
| 53.1#100 | eFG% | #15851.0 |
| 16.8#184 | TOV% | #16416.8 |
| 31.9#129 | ORB% | #11029.1 |
| 38.8#83 | FT rate | #7130.4 |
| 7.8#47 | Block% | #1719.4 |
| 61.2#22 | Assist% | #18552.6 |
| 52.7#142 | 2P% | #12950.8 |
| 35.8#68 | 3P% | #19834.3 |
| 73.6#148 | FT% | — |
| 33.1#314 | 3PA rate | #28735.9 |
Fairfield offense vs Navy defense
| Fairfield O | Stat | Navy D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#238 | Tempo | #32865.2 |
| 48.8#294 | eFG% | #4448.3 |
| 15.3#85 | TOV% | #8518.3 |
| 35.8#30 | ORB% | #4927.4 |
| 27.7#344 | FT rate | #1326.0 |
| 10.5#272 | Block% | #10310.7 |
| 45.2#331 | Assist% | #19052.7 |
| 48.2#302 | 2P% | #14151.0 |
| 33.2#215 | 3P% | #730.0 |
| 70.5#254 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#263 | 3PA rate | #2346.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Navy
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 72–82 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Boston University309 | L 72–73 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Bucknell335 | W 74–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Colgate207 | W 85–69 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Loyola MD348 | W 78–51 |
Fairfield
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Saint Peter's298 | W 74–55 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Manhattan331 | W 71–60 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Siena271 | W 72–58 |
