Model line
Rider −2.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Rider 59%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Rider home
41%Win probability59%
The model makes Rider a 2.1-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Navy offense vs Rider defense
| Navy O | Stat | Rider D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#328 | Tempo | #30965.7 |
| 53.1#100 | eFG% | #33755.2 |
| 16.8#184 | TOV% | #26915.3 |
| 31.9#129 | ORB% | #29232.8 |
| 38.8#83 | FT rate | #11632.5 |
| 7.8#47 | Block% | #1769.3 |
| 61.2#22 | Assist% | #23754.4 |
| 52.7#142 | 2P% | #27954.0 |
| 35.8#68 | 3P% | #35637.9 |
| 73.6#148 | FT% | — |
| 33.1#314 | 3PA rate | #16539.9 |
Rider offense vs Navy defense
| Rider O | Stat | Navy D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#309 | Tempo | #32865.2 |
| 42.8#365 | eFG% | #4448.3 |
| 16.9#195 | TOV% | #8518.3 |
| 32.6#102 | ORB% | #4927.4 |
| 30.1#307 | FT rate | #1326.0 |
| 8.3#82 | Block% | #10310.7 |
| 44.3#342 | Assist% | #19052.7 |
| 43.3#362 | 2P% | #14151.0 |
| 27.7#365 | 3P% | #730.0 |
| 70.1#272 | FT% | — |
| 27.5#361 | 3PA rate | #2346.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Navy
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 72–82 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Boston University309 | L 72–73 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Bucknell335 | W 74–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Colgate207 | W 85–69 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Loyola MD348 | W 78–51 |
Rider
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Iona222 | L 58–80 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Niagara318 | W 67–62 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Canisius339 | L 66–72 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 75–86 |
