Model line
Penn −2.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn 62%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Navy home
62%Win probability38%
The model makes Penn a 2.9-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Penn offense vs Navy defense
| Penn O | Stat | Navy D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#160 | Tempo | #32865.2 |
| 50.4#220 | eFG% | #4448.3 |
| 15.3#89 | TOV% | #8518.3 |
| 30.0#201 | ORB% | #4927.4 |
| 33.9#214 | FT rate | #1326.0 |
| 9.3#166 | Block% | #10310.7 |
| 52.3#186 | Assist% | #19052.7 |
| 46.5#341 | 2P% | #14151.0 |
| 38.3#15 | 3P% | #730.0 |
| 69.4#288 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#265 | 3PA rate | #2346.0 |
Navy offense vs Penn defense
| Navy O | Stat | Penn D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#328 | Tempo | #16068.8 |
| 53.1#100 | eFG% | #22052.1 |
| 16.8#184 | TOV% | #13117.3 |
| 31.9#129 | ORB% | #21631.3 |
| 38.8#83 | FT rate | #2627.5 |
| 7.8#47 | Block% | #2318.5 |
| 61.2#22 | Assist% | #20753.2 |
| 52.7#142 | 2P% | #29754.5 |
| 35.8#68 | 3P% | #7332.2 |
| 73.6#148 | FT% | — |
| 33.1#314 | 3PA rate | #17239.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Penn
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Illinois7 | L 70–105 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Yale145 | W 88–84 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Harvard135 | W 62–60 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Brown229 | W 82–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Harvard135 | W 64–61 |
Navy
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 72–82 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Boston University309 | L 72–73 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Bucknell335 | W 74–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Colgate207 | W 85–69 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Loyola MD348 | W 78–51 |
