Model line
Georgia Southern −1.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Georgia Southern 56%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
Georgia Southern home
44%Win probability56%
The model makes Georgia Southern a 1.4-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercer offense vs Georgia Southern defense
| Mercer O | Stat | Georgia Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#114 | Tempo | #4771.1 |
| 53.1#99 | eFG% | #23052.3 |
| 15.0#63 | TOV% | #6318.7 |
| 32.6#100 | ORB% | #34235.2 |
| 39.2#76 | FT rate | #31641.4 |
| 8.1#66 | Block% | #1449.9 |
| 46.2#314 | Assist% | #3946.4 |
| 53.0#128 | 2P% | #23252.9 |
| 35.6#81 | 3P% | #19934.3 |
| 73.0#169 | FT% | — |
| 39.2#186 | 3PA rate | #17939.5 |
Georgia Southern offense vs Mercer defense
| Georgia Southern O | Stat | Mercer D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#47 | Tempo | #11469.5 |
| 51.4#176 | eFG% | #24152.5 |
| 14.6#46 | TOV% | #15317.0 |
| 28.8#239 | ORB% | #30333.2 |
| 39.6#64 | FT rate | #5429.7 |
| 9.2#157 | Block% | #1799.2 |
| 41.1#356 | Assist% | #4446.8 |
| 52.7#140 | 2P% | #15651.3 |
| 33.4#201 | 3P% | #31336.2 |
| 74.3#111 | FT% | — |
| 48.9#20 | 3PA rate | #9442.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercer
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Reinhardt | W 90–53 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Western Carolina184 | L 73–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | East Tennessee St.175 | W 82–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Western Carolina184 | L 74–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Samford206 | W 89–86 |
Georgia Southern
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Troy152 | L 61–77 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marshall241 | W 82–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Coastal Carolina240 | W 96–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | South Alabama244 | W 94–85 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Arkansas St.186 | W 80–77 |
