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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Colgate · #207 · PL · 0–0American · #198 · PL · 0–0Sun, Feb 21 · 2:00 PM ETBender Arena · Washington, DC
Model line
American −7.8
Win probability
American 80%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
American home
20%Win probability80%

The model makes American a 7.8-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Colgate offense vs American defense

Colgate OStatAmerican D
66.9#249Tempo#25466.7
53.3#87eFG%#31054.4
14.6#45TOV%#4019.2
26.6#307ORB%#12629.4
29.7#318FT rate#32342.1
6.3#5Block%#3624.4
51.4#207Assist%#21653.7
53.2#1182P%#31155.1
35.6#803P%#27735.5
74.7#92FT%—
35.0#2743PA rate#25837.0

American offense vs Colgate defense

American OStatColgate D
66.7#254Tempo#24966.9
51.5#170eFG%#22552.2
15.6#109TOV%#26215.3
26.9#299ORB%#12229.3
28.7#334FT rate#14333.8
10.0#234Block%#2428.3
49.5#254Assist%#24354.7
53.3#1132P%#20652.2
33.0#2263P%#23534.8
75.8#54FT%—
46.5#373PA rate#10341.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Colgate

Sun, Mar 8ALehigh265L 69–76
Thu, Mar 5HLoyola MD348W 90–77
Sat, Feb 28ANavy290L 69–85
Wed, Feb 25HLafayette332L 69–70
Sat, Feb 21HLoyola MD348W 101–98

American

Thu, Mar 5ABoston University309L 73–75
Sat, Feb 28HBoston University309L 65–68
Wed, Feb 25HLehigh265L 73–78
Sun, Feb 22ALafayette332W 75–61
Wed, Feb 18ABucknell335W 75–57