Model line
Colgate −12.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Colgate 91%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Colgate home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Colgate a 12.8-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Lafayette offense vs Colgate defense
| Lafayette O | Stat | Colgate D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#250 | Tempo | #24966.9 |
| 49.3#277 | eFG% | #22552.2 |
| 15.3#87 | TOV% | #26215.3 |
| 25.8#326 | ORB% | #12229.3 |
| 32.4#251 | FT rate | #14333.8 |
| 10.5#273 | Block% | #2428.3 |
| 55.4#104 | Assist% | #24354.7 |
| 50.0#252 | 2P% | #20652.2 |
| 32.2#269 | 3P% | #23534.8 |
| 68.9#300 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#175 | 3PA rate | #10341.7 |
Colgate offense vs Lafayette defense
| Colgate O | Stat | Lafayette D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#249 | Tempo | #25066.9 |
| 53.3#87 | eFG% | #28853.6 |
| 14.6#45 | TOV% | #27915.1 |
| 26.6#307 | ORB% | #9028.6 |
| 29.7#318 | FT rate | #7530.6 |
| 6.3#5 | Block% | #3326.4 |
| 51.4#207 | Assist% | #33259.0 |
| 53.2#118 | 2P% | #25053.4 |
| 35.6#80 | 3P% | #30236.0 |
| 74.7#92 | FT% | — |
| 35.0#274 | 3PA rate | #23238.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Lafayette
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Holy Cross353 | L 77–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Army346 | W 83–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colgate207 | W 70–69 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | American198 | L 61–75 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Holy Cross353 | W 86–83 |
Colgate
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Lehigh265 | L 69–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Loyola MD348 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Navy290 | L 69–85 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Lafayette332 | L 69–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola MD348 | W 101–98 |
