Model line
Colgate −11.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Colgate 88%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Colgate home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Colgate a 11.1-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Siena offense vs Colgate defense
| Siena O | Stat | Colgate D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.2#351 | Tempo | #24966.9 |
| 50.4#221 | eFG% | #22552.2 |
| 15.8#125 | TOV% | #26215.3 |
| 31.8#132 | ORB% | #12229.3 |
| 33.4#226 | FT rate | #14333.8 |
| 9.5#189 | Block% | #2428.3 |
| 53.2#160 | Assist% | #24354.7 |
| 52.5#147 | 2P% | #20652.2 |
| 30.6#332 | 3P% | #23534.8 |
| 77.1#32 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#327 | 3PA rate | #10341.7 |
Colgate offense vs Siena defense
| Colgate O | Stat | Siena D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#249 | Tempo | #35164.2 |
| 53.3#87 | eFG% | #4948.5 |
| 14.6#45 | TOV% | #15617.0 |
| 26.6#307 | ORB% | #13329.5 |
| 29.7#318 | FT rate | #2827.5 |
| 6.3#5 | Block% | #1969.1 |
| 51.4#207 | Assist% | #7548.3 |
| 53.2#118 | 2P% | #5148.5 |
| 35.6#80 | 3P% | #8232.3 |
| 74.7#92 | FT% | — |
| 35.0#274 | 3PA rate | #18639.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Siena
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Duke1 | L 65–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Merrimack211 | W 64–54 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Fairfield231 | W 76–61 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Mount St. Mary's299 | W 63–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rider355 | W 76–61 |
Colgate
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Lehigh265 | L 69–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Loyola MD348 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Navy290 | L 69–85 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Lafayette332 | L 69–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola MD348 | W 101–98 |
