Model line
Colgate −1.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Colgate 54%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Neutral
46%Win probability54%
The model makes Colgate a 1.0-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Merrimack offense vs Colgate defense
| Merrimack O | Stat | Colgate D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8#358 | Tempo | #24966.9 |
| 49.1#287 | eFG% | #22552.2 |
| 14.8#55 | TOV% | #26215.3 |
| 24.8#343 | ORB% | #12229.3 |
| 38.2#96 | FT rate | #14333.8 |
| 13.0#355 | Block% | #2428.3 |
| 56.0#90 | Assist% | #24354.7 |
| 49.1#279 | 2P% | #20652.2 |
| 32.7#245 | 3P% | #23534.8 |
| 78.8#7 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#45 | 3PA rate | #10341.7 |
Colgate offense vs Merrimack defense
| Colgate O | Stat | Merrimack D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#249 | Tempo | #35863.8 |
| 53.3#87 | eFG% | #1746.7 |
| 14.6#45 | TOV% | #1720.4 |
| 26.6#307 | ORB% | #36539.9 |
| 29.7#318 | FT rate | #24037.1 |
| 6.3#5 | Block% | #1513.9 |
| 51.4#207 | Assist% | #29856.9 |
| 53.2#118 | 2P% | #3547.3 |
| 35.6#80 | 3P% | #1330.3 |
| 74.7#92 | FT% | — |
| 35.0#274 | 3PA rate | #35032.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Merrimack
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Appalachian St.234 | L 49–63 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Siena271 | L 54–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marist257 | W 58–57 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Sacred Heart310 | W 70–48 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Niagara318 | W 73–66 |
Colgate
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Lehigh265 | L 69–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Loyola MD348 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Navy290 | L 69–85 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Lafayette332 | L 69–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola MD348 | W 101–98 |
