Model line
Vermont −1.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Vermont 55%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Neutral
55%Win probability45%
The model makes Vermont a 1.1-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Vermont offense vs Colgate defense
| Vermont O | Stat | Colgate D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#348 | Tempo | #24966.9 |
| 53.1#103 | eFG% | #22552.2 |
| 14.3#36 | TOV% | #26215.3 |
| 26.2#319 | ORB% | #12229.3 |
| 31.1#280 | FT rate | #14333.8 |
| 8.3#86 | Block% | #2428.3 |
| 47.9#291 | Assist% | #24354.7 |
| 55.7#47 | 2P% | #20652.2 |
| 33.3#214 | 3P% | #23534.8 |
| 71.9#212 | FT% | — |
| 44.6#77 | 3PA rate | #10341.7 |
Colgate offense vs Vermont defense
| Colgate O | Stat | Vermont D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#249 | Tempo | #34864.4 |
| 53.3#87 | eFG% | #12350.4 |
| 14.6#45 | TOV% | #30514.8 |
| 26.6#307 | ORB% | #223.0 |
| 29.7#318 | FT rate | #22536.4 |
| 6.3#5 | Block% | #2348.5 |
| 51.4#207 | Assist% | #7648.3 |
| 53.2#118 | 2P% | #5448.6 |
| 35.6#80 | 3P% | #26735.3 |
| 74.7#92 | FT% | — |
| 35.0#274 | 3PA rate | #12141.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Vermont
| Sat, Mar 14 | A | UMBC285 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | NJIT336 | W 63–54 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Bryant320 | W 77–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Albany330 | W 69–56 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 66–64 |
Colgate
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Lehigh265 | L 69–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Loyola MD348 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Navy290 | L 69–85 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Lafayette332 | L 69–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola MD348 | W 101–98 |
