Model line
Washington −16.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Washington 96%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Washington home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Washington a 16.7-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Colgate offense vs Washington defense
| Colgate O | Stat | Washington D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#249 | Tempo | #20967.9 |
| 53.3#87 | eFG% | #11450.2 |
| 14.6#45 | TOV% | #32714.3 |
| 26.6#307 | ORB% | #8828.5 |
| 29.7#318 | FT rate | #8531.0 |
| 6.3#5 | Block% | #8211.2 |
| 51.4#207 | Assist% | #9049.1 |
| 53.2#118 | 2P% | #10250.0 |
| 35.6#80 | 3P% | #16333.6 |
| 74.7#92 | FT% | — |
| 35.0#274 | 3PA rate | #22738.2 |
Washington offense vs Colgate defense
| Washington O | Stat | Colgate D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#209 | Tempo | #24966.9 |
| 51.2#187 | eFG% | #22552.2 |
| 15.3#94 | TOV% | #26215.3 |
| 34.6#59 | ORB% | #12229.3 |
| 30.1#309 | FT rate | #14333.8 |
| 8.7#127 | Block% | #2428.3 |
| 49.4#257 | Assist% | #24354.7 |
| 53.4#112 | 2P% | #20652.2 |
| 31.5#307 | 3P% | #23534.8 |
| 76.4#44 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#285 | 3PA rate | #10341.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Colgate
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Lehigh265 | L 69–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Loyola MD348 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Navy290 | L 69–85 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Lafayette332 | L 69–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola MD348 | W 101–98 |
Washington
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Wisconsin35 | L 82–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | USC38 | W 83–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Oregon57 | L 79–85 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | USC38 | W 91–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wisconsin35 | L 73–90 |
