Model line
Virginia −37.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Virginia >99%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Virginia home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Virginia a 37.8-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Loyola MD offense vs Virginia defense
| Loyola MD O | Stat | Virginia D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.1#194 | Tempo | #27766.5 |
| 50.4#218 | eFG% | #545.5 |
| 15.5#105 | TOV% | #25515.5 |
| 27.6#279 | ORB% | #10329.0 |
| 29.9#314 | FT rate | #12132.6 |
| 8.3#76 | Block% | #217.5 |
| 48.8#270 | Assist% | #11850.1 |
| 51.9#173 | 2P% | #644.6 |
| 32.6#250 | 3P% | #4331.3 |
| 71.5#221 | FT% | — |
| 47.2#30 | 3PA rate | #24437.9 |
Virginia offense vs Loyola MD defense
| Virginia O | Stat | Loyola MD D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#277 | Tempo | #19468.1 |
| 54.9#45 | eFG% | #32154.7 |
| 16.1#149 | TOV% | #26415.3 |
| 37.9#10 | ORB% | #10029.0 |
| 32.9#237 | FT rate | #12532.7 |
| 9.7#215 | Block% | #1619.6 |
| 58.7#47 | Assist% | #26855.5 |
| 55.2#54 | 2P% | #35358.3 |
| 36.3#48 | 3P% | #10632.8 |
| 73.1#167 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#40 | 3PA rate | #17639.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Loyola MD
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Colgate207 | L 77–90 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Holy Cross353 | W 76–62 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Navy290 | L 51–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Colgate207 | L 98–101 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Army346 | L 77–87 |
Virginia
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Tennessee11 | L 72–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Wright St.150 | W 82–73 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Duke1 | L 70–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Miami FL13 | W 84–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | NC State54 | W 81–74 |
