Model line
Harvard −9.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Harvard 84%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Holy Cross home
84%Win probability17%
The model makes Harvard a 9.3-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Harvard offense vs Holy Cross defense
| Harvard O | Stat | Holy Cross D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.9#357 | Tempo | #30365.8 |
| 53.2#93 | eFG% | #32454.8 |
| 17.4#227 | TOV% | #33014.1 |
| 26.8#303 | ORB% | #3827.0 |
| 25.7#359 | FT rate | #2927.6 |
| 7.4#24 | Block% | #3584.9 |
| 56.1#87 | Assist% | #12050.3 |
| 54.0#85 | 2P% | #34557.2 |
| 34.7#137 | 3P% | #18134.0 |
| 80.8#1 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#166 | 3PA rate | #20039.0 |
Holy Cross offense vs Harvard defense
| Holy Cross O | Stat | Harvard D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#303 | Tempo | #35763.9 |
| 49.8#244 | eFG% | #12150.4 |
| 15.3#86 | TOV% | #13817.1 |
| 21.9#356 | ORB% | #7328.2 |
| 31.5#267 | FT rate | #1726.6 |
| 8.3#72 | Block% | #9610.8 |
| 44.7#337 | Assist% | #16351.7 |
| 50.4#244 | 2P% | #15951.4 |
| 32.5#255 | 3P% | #9232.6 |
| 77.2#28 | FT% | — |
| 37.3#225 | 3PA rate | #21138.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Harvard
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Penn123 | L 60–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Columbia202 | W 81–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Penn123 | L 61–64 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Princeton155 | W 58–56 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Cornell196 | W 73–54 |
Holy Cross
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Lehigh265 | L 66–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Lafayette332 | W 82–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Loyola MD348 | L 62–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Boston University309 | L 63–78 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Bucknell335 | W 72–63 |
