Model line
UAB −12.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UAB 90%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
UAB home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes UAB a 12.4-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Samford offense vs UAB defense
| Samford O | Stat | UAB D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#179 | Tempo | #8370.3 |
| 53.1#101 | eFG% | #10250.0 |
| 13.4#13 | TOV% | #22216.1 |
| 25.3#333 | ORB% | #5727.7 |
| 41.9#32 | FT rate | #3828.7 |
| 10.2#254 | Block% | #1739.4 |
| 55.2#110 | Assist% | #12250.3 |
| 52.8#138 | 2P% | #12650.7 |
| 35.6#84 | 3P% | #9432.6 |
| 69.2#294 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#53 | 3PA rate | #19339.2 |
UAB offense vs Samford defense
| UAB O | Stat | Samford D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#83 | Tempo | #17968.4 |
| 48.4#305 | eFG% | #20651.9 |
| 12.5#2 | TOV% | #35613.0 |
| 32.5#108 | ORB% | #1725.7 |
| 36.4#143 | FT rate | #13032.9 |
| 9.7#214 | Block% | #3127.0 |
| 50.3#236 | Assist% | #2945.8 |
| 51.3#202 | 2P% | #11450.3 |
| 27.8#364 | 3P% | #32836.5 |
| 70.6#252 | FT% | — |
| 30.5#350 | 3PA rate | #28835.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Samford
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Furman147 | L 81–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | W 87–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | VMI344 | W 80–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Mercer227 | L 86–89 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | The Citadel325 | W 78–75 |
UAB
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Charlotte112 | L 78–83 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | East Carolina185 | W 90–83 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Charlotte112 | W 80–74 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | North Texas114 | L 58–62 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Memphis84 | W 78–67 |
