Model line
East Carolina −15.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
East Carolina 94%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
East Carolina home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes East Carolina a 15.1-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
USC Upstate offense vs East Carolina defense
| USC Upstate O | Stat | East Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#137 | Tempo | #13269.2 |
| 48.3#308 | eFG% | #22952.3 |
| 18.2#285 | TOV% | #20916.2 |
| 29.2#231 | ORB% | #28132.5 |
| 32.8#242 | FT rate | #10932.2 |
| 11.0#304 | Block% | #9910.7 |
| 46.0#317 | Assist% | #24254.6 |
| 48.9#286 | 2P% | #20752.2 |
| 31.4#312 | 3P% | #23934.9 |
| 68.1#325 | FT% | — |
| 35.6#258 | 3PA rate | #20838.8 |
East Carolina offense vs USC Upstate defense
| East Carolina O | Stat | USC Upstate D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#132 | Tempo | #13769.2 |
| 46.4#346 | eFG% | #16351.0 |
| 17.1#208 | TOV% | #19916.4 |
| 33.4#81 | ORB% | #22431.4 |
| 39.2#74 | FT rate | #21136.0 |
| 8.1#64 | Block% | #4312.4 |
| 47.3#298 | Assist% | #2144.7 |
| 47.5#322 | 2P% | #8349.5 |
| 29.3#350 | 3P% | #29035.6 |
| 70.0#273 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#337 | 3PA rate | #28436.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
USC Upstate
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Gardner Webb352 | L 64–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gardner Webb352 | W 71–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Radford255 | L 59–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Presbyterian224 | W 76–74 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Winthrop239 | L 64–68 |
East Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | UAB124 | L 83–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Tulsa104 | L 66–93 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Memphis84 | W 84–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | UTSA245 | W 82–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Charlotte112 | L 56–68 |
