Model line
SMU −32.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
SMU >99%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
SMU home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes SMU a 32.6-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
VMI offense vs SMU defense
| VMI O | Stat | SMU D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#220 | Tempo | #7270.6 |
| 47.6#324 | eFG% | #19151.6 |
| 15.3#93 | TOV% | #16816.8 |
| 25.6#330 | ORB% | #23531.6 |
| 30.6#294 | FT rate | #10832.1 |
| 10.5#276 | Block% | #9111.0 |
| 50.7#227 | Assist% | #34660.9 |
| 47.9#313 | 2P% | #19452.0 |
| 31.5#306 | 3P% | #18734.1 |
| 72.2#201 | FT% | — |
| 53.6#2 | 3PA rate | #947.7 |
SMU offense vs VMI defense
| SMU O | Stat | VMI D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#72 | Tempo | #22067.6 |
| 55.6#28 | eFG% | #35757.0 |
| 15.7#116 | TOV% | #24315.7 |
| 35.4#37 | ORB% | #36037.2 |
| 30.4#301 | FT rate | #16934.6 |
| 7.5#33 | Block% | #3356.4 |
| 54.9#120 | Assist% | #35662.3 |
| 55.6#48 | 2P% | #35958.9 |
| 37.1#28 | 3P% | #32936.5 |
| 74.3#115 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#251 | 3PA rate | #1746.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
VMI
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | UNC Greensboro289 | L 70–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Chattanooga274 | L 79–86 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Samford206 | L 61–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Western Carolina184 | L 62–81 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Wofford276 | L 76–82 |
SMU
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Miami OH108 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Louisville15 | L 58–62 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Syracuse76 | W 86–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Florida St.64 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Miami FL13 | L 69–77 |
