Model line
NC State −31.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
NC State >99%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
NC State home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes NC State a 31.5-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UNC Greensboro offense vs NC State defense
| UNC Greensboro O | Stat | NC State D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6#168 | Tempo | #11569.5 |
| 52.0#149 | eFG% | #25452.7 |
| 15.0#66 | TOV% | #9118.2 |
| 28.1#266 | ORB% | #18230.5 |
| 42.0#30 | FT rate | #23236.9 |
| 9.1#154 | Block% | #10210.7 |
| 46.9#306 | Assist% | #9649.3 |
| 51.0#215 | 2P% | #20952.2 |
| 35.6#86 | 3P% | #28135.5 |
| 70.4#259 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#167 | 3PA rate | #3444.9 |
NC State offense vs UNC Greensboro defense
| NC State O | Stat | UNC Greensboro D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#115 | Tempo | #16868.6 |
| 55.0#40 | eFG% | #34756.2 |
| 13.1#10 | TOV% | #34313.7 |
| 28.2#258 | ORB% | #10229.0 |
| 35.1#174 | FT rate | #7730.6 |
| 9.4#177 | Block% | #3495.8 |
| 54.6#123 | Assist% | #11550.0 |
| 52.6#146 | 2P% | #31955.6 |
| 38.8#8 | 3P% | #35838.0 |
| 76.8#37 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#104 | 3PA rate | #1646.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UNC Greensboro
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Furman147 | L 75–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Wofford276 | W 75–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | VMI344 | W 84–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Samford206 | L 78–87 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Chattanooga274 | W 85–80 |
NC State
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Texas10 | L 66–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Virginia14 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Pittsburgh79 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stanford81 | L 84–85 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Duke1 | L 64–93 |
