Model line
California −16.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
California 96%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
California home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes California a 16.9-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Radford offense vs California defense
| Radford O | Stat | California D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#19 | Tempo | #12669.3 |
| 51.3#183 | eFG% | #8949.8 |
| 17.1#212 | TOV% | #20816.2 |
| 29.8#210 | ORB% | #17030.2 |
| 42.4#25 | FT rate | #23637.0 |
| 9.6#201 | Block% | #2108.7 |
| 45.7#325 | Assist% | #27956.0 |
| 52.3#159 | 2P% | #20552.2 |
| 33.5#196 | 3P% | #3030.8 |
| 71.0#239 | FT% | — |
| 45.4#59 | 3PA rate | #12940.9 |
California offense vs Radford defense
| California O | Stat | Radford D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#126 | Tempo | #1972.4 |
| 52.7#112 | eFG% | #27153.0 |
| 15.2#77 | TOV% | #7418.5 |
| 25.9#324 | ORB% | #26932.2 |
| 36.8#135 | FT rate | #30240.0 |
| 11.3#321 | Block% | #1809.2 |
| 54.2#134 | Assist% | #23554.3 |
| 50.8#217 | 2P% | #23552.9 |
| 36.9#30 | 3P% | #28535.5 |
| 77.8#21 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#115 | 3PA rate | #24137.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Radford
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Presbyterian224 | L 85–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Longwood214 | L 74–90 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | USC Upstate343 | W 71–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | UNC Asheville291 | L 73–74 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Gardner Webb352 | W 82–70 |
California
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 75–76 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 91–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida St.64 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 73–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 76–65 |
