Model line
Illinois −43.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois >99%
Projected tempo
72.3
possessions
Site
Illinois home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Illinois a 43.4-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Winthrop offense vs Illinois defense
| Winthrop O | Stat | Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 79.8#12 | Tempo | #4775.4 |
| 63.9#22 | eFG% | #832.0 |
| 17.5#114 | TOV% | #15715.9 |
| 32.4#102 | ORB% | #26.5 |
| 15.3#228 | FT rate | #2418.0 |
| 7.9#98 | Block% | #5914.3 |
| 57.9#89 | Assist% | #7447.1 |
| 57.9#81 | 2P% | #5242.9 |
| 47.1#19 | 3P% | #915.2 |
| 54.5#211 | FT% | — |
| 47.2#65 | 3PA rate | #2654.1 |
Illinois offense vs Winthrop defense
| Illinois O | Stat | Winthrop D |
|---|---|---|
| 75.4#47 | Tempo | #1279.8 |
| 66.9#13 | eFG% | #21863.2 |
| 9.3#4 | TOV% | #22911.3 |
| 55.0#5 | ORB% | #7025.7 |
| 19.3#215 | FT rate | #13738.2 |
| 12.5#166 | Block% | #5714.6 |
| 65.2#57 | Assist% | #4742.1 |
| 84.4#1 | 2P% | #22368.3 |
| 37.3#73 | 3P% | #16937.0 |
| 56.3#204 | FT% | — |
| 61.4#6 | 3PA rate | #13739.7 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Winthrop
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Queens170 | L 98–103 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | High Point62 | L 76–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Presbyterian256 | W 73–71 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Charleston Southern323 | W 86–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Presbyterian256 | W 74–70 |
Illinois
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson359 | W 120–45 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Connecticut5 | L 62–71 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Iowa41 | W 71–59 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Houston4 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | VCU63 | W 76–55 |
