Model line
Army −2.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Army 61%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Army home
39%Win probability61%
The model makes Army a 2.6-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UMBC offense vs Army defense
| UMBC O | Stat | Army D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#273 | Tempo | #23067.3 |
| 54.1#68 | eFG% | #33255.1 |
| 14.0#24 | TOV% | #25715.4 |
| 24.9#342 | ORB% | #5327.7 |
| 34.1#206 | FT rate | #29739.6 |
| 6.4#11 | Block% | #3604.8 |
| 44.8#336 | Assist% | #21553.5 |
| 54.1#84 | 2P% | #33756.4 |
| 36.1#57 | 3P% | #28735.6 |
| 76.0#53 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#194 | 3PA rate | #10241.7 |
Army offense vs UMBC defense
| Army O | Stat | UMBC D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#230 | Tempo | #27366.5 |
| 49.3#275 | eFG% | #8149.4 |
| 17.2#213 | TOV% | #28615.1 |
| 29.6#218 | ORB% | #1825.8 |
| 26.8#353 | FT rate | #1225.7 |
| 11.2#312 | Block% | #3286.5 |
| 59.0#41 | Assist% | #1143.0 |
| 50.7#223 | 2P% | #8849.6 |
| 32.0#278 | 3P% | #10432.7 |
| 71.7#214 | FT% | — |
| 53.3#3 | 3PA rate | #24637.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UMBC
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Howard164 | L 83–86 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Vermont189 | W 74–59 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 91–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | NJIT336 | W 91–52 |
Army
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Bucknell335 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Lafayette332 | L 77–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Bucknell335 | L 73–75 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Navy290 | L 63–81 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Loyola MD348 | W 87–77 |
