Model line
St. Thomas −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
St. Thomas 68%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Army home
68%Win probability32%
The model makes St. Thomas a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
St. Thomas offense vs Army defense
| St. Thomas O | Stat | Army D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#107 | Tempo | #23067.3 |
| 58.9#5 | eFG% | #33255.1 |
| 14.3#34 | TOV% | #25715.4 |
| 22.6#353 | ORB% | #5327.7 |
| 33.8#220 | FT rate | #29739.6 |
| 8.3#84 | Block% | #3604.8 |
| 56.7#74 | Assist% | #21553.5 |
| 63.0#1 | 2P% | #33756.4 |
| 36.0#60 | 3P% | #28735.6 |
| 68.7#305 | FT% | — |
| 46.3#41 | 3PA rate | #10241.7 |
Army offense vs St. Thomas defense
| Army O | Stat | St. Thomas D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#230 | Tempo | #10769.7 |
| 49.3#275 | eFG% | #13850.7 |
| 17.2#213 | TOV% | #15717.0 |
| 29.6#218 | ORB% | #2726.6 |
| 26.8#353 | FT rate | #8130.7 |
| 11.2#312 | Block% | #2937.5 |
| 59.0#41 | Assist% | #20052.9 |
| 50.7#223 | 2P% | #23052.8 |
| 32.0#278 | 3P% | #5431.7 |
| 71.7#214 | FT% | — |
| 53.3#3 | 3PA rate | #12441.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
St. Thomas
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Seattle115 | L 52–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | North Dakota328 | L 66–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | South Dakota St.237 | W 80–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 68–53 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | North Dakota St.170 | W 84–62 |
Army
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Bucknell335 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Lafayette332 | L 77–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Bucknell335 | L 73–75 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Navy290 | L 63–81 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Loyola MD348 | W 87–77 |
