Model line
New Haven −5.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Haven 72%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
New Haven home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes New Haven a 5.5-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Army offense vs New Haven defense
| Army O | Stat | New Haven D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#230 | Tempo | #36163.5 |
| 49.3#275 | eFG% | #20151.8 |
| 17.2#213 | TOV% | #14417.1 |
| 29.6#218 | ORB% | #3426.8 |
| 26.8#353 | FT rate | #3227.7 |
| 11.2#312 | Block% | #3416.1 |
| 59.0#41 | Assist% | #8448.9 |
| 50.7#223 | 2P% | #20052.1 |
| 32.0#278 | 3P% | #20334.3 |
| 71.7#214 | FT% | — |
| 53.3#3 | 3PA rate | #21738.4 |
New Haven offense vs Army defense
| New Haven O | Stat | Army D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.5#361 | Tempo | #23067.3 |
| 48.7#297 | eFG% | #33255.1 |
| 17.8#262 | TOV% | #25715.4 |
| 21.5#359 | ORB% | #5327.7 |
| 31.7#262 | FT rate | #29739.6 |
| 7.7#39 | Block% | #3604.8 |
| 49.7#247 | Assist% | #21553.5 |
| 51.0#213 | 2P% | #33756.4 |
| 30.2#340 | 3P% | #28735.6 |
| 70.2#267 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#176 | 3PA rate | #10241.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Army
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Bucknell335 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Lafayette332 | L 77–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Bucknell335 | L 73–75 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Navy290 | L 63–81 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Loyola MD348 | W 87–77 |
New Haven
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Le Moyne319 | W 66–59 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Wagner338 | L 62–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | St. Francis PA | L 67–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 84–77 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Stonehill350 | W 64–51 |
