Model line
Samford −7.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Samford 78%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Samford home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Samford a 7.4-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercer offense vs Samford defense
| Mercer O | Stat | Samford D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#114 | Tempo | #17968.4 |
| 53.1#99 | eFG% | #20651.9 |
| 15.0#63 | TOV% | #35613.0 |
| 32.6#100 | ORB% | #1725.7 |
| 39.2#76 | FT rate | #13032.9 |
| 8.1#66 | Block% | #3127.0 |
| 46.2#314 | Assist% | #2945.8 |
| 53.0#128 | 2P% | #11450.3 |
| 35.6#81 | 3P% | #32836.5 |
| 73.0#169 | FT% | — |
| 39.2#186 | 3PA rate | #28835.9 |
Samford offense vs Mercer defense
| Samford O | Stat | Mercer D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#179 | Tempo | #11469.5 |
| 53.1#101 | eFG% | #24152.5 |
| 13.4#13 | TOV% | #15317.0 |
| 25.3#333 | ORB% | #30333.2 |
| 41.9#32 | FT rate | #5429.7 |
| 10.2#254 | Block% | #1799.2 |
| 55.2#110 | Assist% | #4446.8 |
| 52.8#138 | 2P% | #15651.3 |
| 35.6#84 | 3P% | #31336.2 |
| 69.2#294 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#53 | 3PA rate | #9442.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercer
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Reinhardt | W 90–53 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Western Carolina184 | L 73–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | East Tennessee St.175 | W 82–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Western Carolina184 | L 74–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Samford206 | W 89–86 |
Samford
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Furman147 | L 81–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | W 87–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | VMI344 | W 80–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Mercer227 | L 86–89 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | The Citadel325 | W 78–75 |
