Model line
The Citadel −7.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
The Citadel 78%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
The Citadel home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes The Citadel a 7.3-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
VMI offense vs The Citadel defense
| VMI O | Stat | The Citadel D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#220 | Tempo | #33464.8 |
| 47.6#324 | eFG% | #36157.5 |
| 15.3#93 | TOV% | #31114.7 |
| 25.6#330 | ORB% | #22831.5 |
| 30.6#294 | FT rate | #13533.3 |
| 10.5#276 | Block% | #2737.8 |
| 50.7#227 | Assist% | #17552.2 |
| 47.9#313 | 2P% | #36359.6 |
| 31.5#306 | 3P% | #33536.6 |
| 72.2#201 | FT% | — |
| 53.6#2 | 3PA rate | #4444.1 |
The Citadel offense vs VMI defense
| The Citadel O | Stat | VMI D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8#334 | Tempo | #22067.6 |
| 49.5#269 | eFG% | #35757.0 |
| 16.3#157 | TOV% | #24315.7 |
| 27.9#272 | ORB% | #36037.2 |
| 30.0#312 | FT rate | #16934.6 |
| 10.7#288 | Block% | #3356.4 |
| 50.6#231 | Assist% | #35662.3 |
| 51.0#214 | 2P% | #35958.9 |
| 32.0#282 | 3P% | #32936.5 |
| 66.5#349 | FT% | — |
| 47.8#27 | 3PA rate | #1746.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
VMI
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | UNC Greensboro289 | L 70–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Chattanooga274 | L 79–86 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Samford206 | L 61–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Western Carolina184 | L 62–81 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Wofford276 | L 76–82 |
The Citadel
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | L 76–83 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Chattanooga274 | W 88–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wofford276 | W 93–90 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Furman147 | L 51–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Chattanooga274 | L 72–93 |
