Model line
UNC Greensboro −3.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Greensboro 65%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
UNC Greensboro home
35%Win probability65%
The model makes UNC Greensboro a 3.6-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercer offense vs UNC Greensboro defense
| Mercer O | Stat | UNC Greensboro D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#114 | Tempo | #16868.6 |
| 53.1#99 | eFG% | #34756.2 |
| 15.0#63 | TOV% | #34313.7 |
| 32.6#100 | ORB% | #10229.0 |
| 39.2#76 | FT rate | #7730.6 |
| 8.1#66 | Block% | #3495.8 |
| 46.2#314 | Assist% | #11550.0 |
| 53.0#128 | 2P% | #31955.6 |
| 35.6#81 | 3P% | #35838.0 |
| 73.0#169 | FT% | — |
| 39.2#186 | 3PA rate | #1646.6 |
UNC Greensboro offense vs Mercer defense
| UNC Greensboro O | Stat | Mercer D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6#168 | Tempo | #11469.5 |
| 52.0#149 | eFG% | #24152.5 |
| 15.0#66 | TOV% | #15317.0 |
| 28.1#266 | ORB% | #30333.2 |
| 42.0#30 | FT rate | #5429.7 |
| 9.1#154 | Block% | #1799.2 |
| 46.9#306 | Assist% | #4446.8 |
| 51.0#215 | 2P% | #15651.3 |
| 35.6#86 | 3P% | #31336.2 |
| 70.4#259 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#167 | 3PA rate | #9442.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercer
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Reinhardt | W 90–53 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Western Carolina184 | L 73–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | East Tennessee St.175 | W 82–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Western Carolina184 | L 74–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Samford206 | W 89–86 |
UNC Greensboro
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Furman147 | L 75–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Wofford276 | W 75–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | VMI344 | W 84–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Samford206 | L 78–87 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Chattanooga274 | W 85–80 |
