Model line
UNC Greensboro −2.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Greensboro 61%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
UNC Greensboro home
40%Win probability61%
The model makes UNC Greensboro a 2.5-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Samford offense vs UNC Greensboro defense
| Samford O | Stat | UNC Greensboro D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#179 | Tempo | #16868.6 |
| 53.1#101 | eFG% | #34756.2 |
| 13.4#13 | TOV% | #34313.7 |
| 25.3#333 | ORB% | #10229.0 |
| 41.9#32 | FT rate | #7730.6 |
| 10.2#254 | Block% | #3495.8 |
| 55.2#110 | Assist% | #11550.0 |
| 52.8#138 | 2P% | #31955.6 |
| 35.6#84 | 3P% | #35838.0 |
| 69.2#294 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#53 | 3PA rate | #1646.6 |
UNC Greensboro offense vs Samford defense
| UNC Greensboro O | Stat | Samford D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6#168 | Tempo | #17968.4 |
| 52.0#149 | eFG% | #20651.9 |
| 15.0#66 | TOV% | #35613.0 |
| 28.1#266 | ORB% | #1725.7 |
| 42.0#30 | FT rate | #13032.9 |
| 9.1#154 | Block% | #3127.0 |
| 46.9#306 | Assist% | #2945.8 |
| 51.0#215 | 2P% | #11450.3 |
| 35.6#86 | 3P% | #32836.5 |
| 70.4#259 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#167 | 3PA rate | #28835.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Samford
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Furman147 | L 81–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | W 87–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | VMI344 | W 80–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Mercer227 | L 86–89 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | The Citadel325 | W 78–75 |
UNC Greensboro
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Furman147 | L 75–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Wofford276 | W 75–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | VMI344 | W 84–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Samford206 | L 78–87 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Chattanooga274 | W 85–80 |
