Model line
Mercer −0.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mercer 53%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
VMI home
53%Win probability47%
The model makes Mercer a 0.6-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercer offense vs VMI defense
| Mercer O | Stat | VMI D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#114 | Tempo | #22067.6 |
| 53.1#99 | eFG% | #35757.0 |
| 15.0#63 | TOV% | #24315.7 |
| 32.6#100 | ORB% | #36037.2 |
| 39.2#76 | FT rate | #16934.6 |
| 8.1#66 | Block% | #3356.4 |
| 46.2#314 | Assist% | #35662.3 |
| 53.0#128 | 2P% | #35958.9 |
| 35.6#81 | 3P% | #32936.5 |
| 73.0#169 | FT% | — |
| 39.2#186 | 3PA rate | #1746.5 |
VMI offense vs Mercer defense
| VMI O | Stat | Mercer D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#220 | Tempo | #11469.5 |
| 47.6#324 | eFG% | #24152.5 |
| 15.3#93 | TOV% | #15317.0 |
| 25.6#330 | ORB% | #30333.2 |
| 30.6#294 | FT rate | #5429.7 |
| 10.5#276 | Block% | #1799.2 |
| 50.7#227 | Assist% | #4446.8 |
| 47.9#313 | 2P% | #15651.3 |
| 31.5#306 | 3P% | #31336.2 |
| 72.2#201 | FT% | — |
| 53.6#2 | 3PA rate | #9442.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercer
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Reinhardt | W 90–53 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Western Carolina184 | L 73–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | East Tennessee St.175 | W 82–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Western Carolina184 | L 74–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Samford206 | W 89–86 |
VMI
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | UNC Greensboro289 | L 70–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Chattanooga274 | L 79–86 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Samford206 | L 61–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Western Carolina184 | L 62–81 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Wofford276 | L 76–82 |
