Model line
The Citadel −4.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
The Citadel 67%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
The Citadel home
33%Win probability67%
The model makes The Citadel a 4.3-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UNC Greensboro offense vs The Citadel defense
| UNC Greensboro O | Stat | The Citadel D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6#168 | Tempo | #33464.8 |
| 52.0#149 | eFG% | #36157.5 |
| 15.0#66 | TOV% | #31114.7 |
| 28.1#266 | ORB% | #22831.5 |
| 42.0#30 | FT rate | #13533.3 |
| 9.1#154 | Block% | #2737.8 |
| 46.9#306 | Assist% | #17552.2 |
| 51.0#215 | 2P% | #36359.6 |
| 35.6#86 | 3P% | #33536.6 |
| 70.4#259 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#167 | 3PA rate | #4444.1 |
The Citadel offense vs UNC Greensboro defense
| The Citadel O | Stat | UNC Greensboro D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8#334 | Tempo | #16868.6 |
| 49.5#269 | eFG% | #34756.2 |
| 16.3#157 | TOV% | #34313.7 |
| 27.9#272 | ORB% | #10229.0 |
| 30.0#312 | FT rate | #7730.6 |
| 10.7#288 | Block% | #3495.8 |
| 50.6#231 | Assist% | #11550.0 |
| 51.0#214 | 2P% | #31955.6 |
| 32.0#282 | 3P% | #35838.0 |
| 66.5#349 | FT% | — |
| 47.8#27 | 3PA rate | #1646.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UNC Greensboro
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Furman147 | L 75–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Wofford276 | W 75–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | VMI344 | W 84–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Samford206 | L 78–87 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Chattanooga274 | W 85–80 |
The Citadel
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | L 76–83 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Chattanooga274 | W 88–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wofford276 | W 93–90 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Furman147 | L 51–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Chattanooga274 | L 72–93 |
