Model line
The Citadel −0.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
The Citadel 51%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
The Citadel home
49%Win probability51%
The model makes The Citadel a 0.2-point favorite, winning about 51 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Samford offense vs The Citadel defense
| Samford O | Stat | The Citadel D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#179 | Tempo | #33464.8 |
| 53.1#101 | eFG% | #36157.5 |
| 13.4#13 | TOV% | #31114.7 |
| 25.3#333 | ORB% | #22831.5 |
| 41.9#32 | FT rate | #13533.3 |
| 10.2#254 | Block% | #2737.8 |
| 55.2#110 | Assist% | #17552.2 |
| 52.8#138 | 2P% | #36359.6 |
| 35.6#84 | 3P% | #33536.6 |
| 69.2#294 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#53 | 3PA rate | #4444.1 |
The Citadel offense vs Samford defense
| The Citadel O | Stat | Samford D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8#334 | Tempo | #17968.4 |
| 49.5#269 | eFG% | #20651.9 |
| 16.3#157 | TOV% | #35613.0 |
| 27.9#272 | ORB% | #1725.7 |
| 30.0#312 | FT rate | #13032.9 |
| 10.7#288 | Block% | #3127.0 |
| 50.6#231 | Assist% | #2945.8 |
| 51.0#214 | 2P% | #11450.3 |
| 32.0#282 | 3P% | #32836.5 |
| 66.5#349 | FT% | — |
| 47.8#27 | 3PA rate | #28835.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Samford
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Furman147 | L 81–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | W 87–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | VMI344 | W 80–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Mercer227 | L 86–89 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | The Citadel325 | W 78–75 |
The Citadel
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | L 76–83 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Chattanooga274 | W 88–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wofford276 | W 93–90 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Furman147 | L 51–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Chattanooga274 | L 72–93 |
